Published October 5, 2026 in Market Update

One part of Primary market is still moving with steady demand

By Nashvilles Nik!
Real estate, Primary market

Freddie Mac put the average 30-year fixed rate at 7.28% as of October 1, 2026. That is real money on top of every price. And yet, some parts of Primary market are still moving with real speed.

The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 33.5% of homes in ZIP 37064 going under contract within two weeks of listing. That is the highest share of any ZIP in this market. Buyers there are making decisions fast.

Homes in ZIP 37064 under contract within two weeks
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending July 31, 2026

That speed matters because the Real Estate Data Aggregator also showed only 3.6 months of supply in ZIP 37064. Below four months generally means more buyers than sellers. Sellers in that ZIP have some footing to stand on.

ZIP 37064, three months ending July 31, 2026
Median sale price
Up 7.6% from a year before
Homes sold
Up 4.4% from a year before
Months of supply
Down from a year before
Median days on market
Quickest of the larger ZIPs here
Pending sales
Up 5.4% from a year before
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending July 31, 2026

How ZIP 37064 stacks up against the rest

Not every ZIP looks like this. The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 13 months of supply in ZIP 37203 and 10.9 months in ZIP 37208. Those are very different conditions. Speed and supply vary a lot by neighborhood.

Months of supply by ZIP, three months ending July 31, 2026
3721918.4 months3720313 months3720810.9 months372018.9 months372076.8 months372125.5 months371385.3 months372094.9 months
Real Estate Data Aggregator counts for the three months ending July 31, 2026. Lower means fewer homes relative to buyers.
Months of supply, continued
370754.3 months370664.2 months370764.1 months372064.1 months371223.9 months370673.6 months370643.6 months370692.9 months
Real Estate Data Aggregator counts for the three months ending July 31, 2026.

Which ZIPs had the most buyers moving fast

Share of homes under contract within two weeks, three months ending July 31, 2026
  1. 13706740.3%
  2. 23706433.5%
  3. 33721432.4%
  4. 43720631.1%
  5. 53720930.1%
  6. 63720829.9%
  7. 73720729.7%
  8. 83707528.2%
Real Estate Data Aggregator counts. ZIP 37067 led the market. ZIP 37064 was second.

ZIP 37067 actually led the whole market. The Real Estate Data Aggregator showed 40.3% of homes there going under contract within two weeks. Its median sale price rose 9.6% from a year before, to $900,000. Pending sales were up 15.5% year over year. That is a ZIP worth watching.

Rates are higher, and buyers are still showing up

Freddie Mac reported the 30-year fixed rate averaged 7.28% as of October 1, 2026. Realtor.com noted rates crossed 7% in late September for the first time since January 2025. That is a real cost for buyers.

Even so, the National Association of Realtors reported existing-home sales were up 1.6% year to date through the first eight months of 2026. Buyers are adjusting, not disappearing.

The Federal Housing Finance Agency reported U.S. house prices rose 2.1% year over year between the second quarter of 2025 and the second quarter of 2026. Prices are not falling nationally, even with higher rates.

A few ZIPs where things moved more slowly

ZIP 37201 had a median of 159 days on market, per the Real Estate Data Aggregator. Only 8.3% of homes there went under contract within two weeks. That is a very different pace from ZIP 37064 or 37067.

ZIP 37219 had 18.4 months of supply and zero homes sold above list price. The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted only 6 homes sold there in the period. Small sample, but slow conditions.

Fast vs. slow: a tale of two ZIPs, three months ending July 31, 2026
ZIP 37064ZIP 37201
Median sale price$995,000$576,450
Months of supply3.68.9
Median days on market52159
Under contract in 2 weeks33.5%8.3%
Homes sold45412
Real Estate Data Aggregator counts for the three months ending July 31, 2026. Same market, very different stories.

What this means for you

If you are selling in ZIP 37064 or 37067, the data shows real demand. Pricing well still matters. Only 16.3% of homes in 37064 sold above list price, per the Real Estate Data Aggregator. Most sold at or below.

If you are buying, being ready to move quickly in those ZIPs is worth something. A third of homes went under contract in two weeks. That leaves less time to think.

If you are in a ZIP with 8 or more months of supply, the picture is different. More choices, more time, but sellers may need to price carefully.

In short
  1. The three months ending July 31, 2026 showed a split market.
  2. ZIP 37064 had 3.6 months of supply and 33.5% of homes under contract in two weeks.
  3. ZIP 37201 had 8.9 months of supply and 159 median days on market.
  4. One street can read very differently from the whole ZIP code, and one ZIP can read very differently from the next.
  5. The numbers above are for the full ZIP.
  6. Your block may tell a different story.

Your next step

(615) 943-5557

Text me your address and I will send back how long a home like yours is taking to sell in your part of Primary market right now, and where your supply sits against these numbers. Takes a day, costs nothing.

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Where these numbers came from

Nashvilles Nik! is a licensed real estate agent with Real Broker, license #308990. Market numbers come from MLS records and are believed accurate but not guaranteed. Nothing on this site is an appraisal or a promise of value. If your home is already listed with another broker, this is not a solicitation.